the authors' computer code and found the controls missing. In other words, Messrs Donohue and Levitt did not run the test they thought they had—an "inadvertent but serious computer programming error"Ah, the old garbage-in-garbage-out problem. That wasn't all that was wrong, either.
Saturday, December 03, 2005
Freakonomics Revisited
I picked up the hardcopy of Freakonomics from Mom while in Naples, after Keith's recommendation. She said she thought Levitt was "just wrong" about some things. My main reaction is that the whole thing was just too glib, a problem with a lot of the science-for-the-layman books as a category. You're not an economist, and you have to trust someone, and since I have a popular book out and great credentials you're in no position to question, trust me!!! Same goes for political crap -- caveat emptor. Just as a reminder of how you shouldn't necessarily trust what you read, and that -- we can always hope, in spite of the last five years -- science is an open process of continued questioning and review, I noticed this article in the Economist (you may have to put up with an annoying advertisement before getting to it). A couple of economists looking into the claim that abortion is the root cause of crime reduction inspected
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I like the last paragraph of that Economist article:
Of course, lots of people have always thought Mr Levitt was in the wrong. Even if abortion cuts crime, it is still immoral, they fulminate. But this is largely beside the point: Mr Levitt's research does not take a position on abortion's social virtues, but aims merely to uncover its societal effects. Besides, for someone of Mr Levitt's iconoclasm and ingenuity, technical ineptitude is a much graver charge than moral turpitude. To be politically incorrect is one thing; to be simply incorrect quite another.
They can sure turn a phrase, those guys! Of course there's another thing to consider: geonocide. If you just kill everyone, there won't be any crime either. Sometimes I wonder about the value of such excessive navel contemplating!
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